Friday, March 07, 2008

Red States / Blue States

The Red State / Blue State map looked like this when the votes were tallied after the 2004 election:


Map credit: Michael Gastner, Cosma Shalizi, and Mark Newman, University of Michigan

The state by state map is a little deceptive, particularly in light of the fact that the overall margin that the Republican Party won by in 2004 was on the order of 1.5% ... that is to say, closer than a 49:51 win.


Map credit: Michael Gastner, Cosma Shalizi, and Mark Newman, University of Michigan

Breaking the overall voting down by county gives a better understanding of what that actually meant. Democrats tended to win in more urban areas (where people actually live) while the Republicans took those areas where the deer and the antelope play (imagine the sound of crickets chirping).

Looking into the future, pollsters are predicting the map will look like this going into the 2008 election if Clinton is the Democratic Party nominee: (And we know how "right on" the pollsters been.)



... and like this if Obama is the Democratic nominee:



I'm looking forward to a county by county breakdown once Obama is President. I suspect it will be a very different shade of purple.

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